﻿# 2026.5.15-鏃ユ姤-鑳¤緣淇奬n
#### **浠婃棩鍐呭姒傝堪锛?*

##### **1.姊崇悊寮€棰樻ā鍧楃殑鍐呭閫昏緫涓庨〉闈㈣皟鏁存柟鍚?*

**2.鏁寸悊鍚庣画闇€鍚屾鏇存柊鐨勬牳蹇冩憳瑕佷笌棰勮閲嶇偣闂**



### 涓€. 寮€棰楶PT鍐呭涓庡竷灞€璋冩暣

> 鐜扮増PPT瑙嗚椋庢牸骞插噣锛屼絾瀛樺湪 **淇℃伅鍘嬬缉杩囧害銆佸叧閿爺绌跺唴瀹规湭琚粨鏋勫寲鍛堢幇** 鐨勯棶棰? 
> 鍥犳璋冩暣鏂瑰悜閲囩敤锛?*閫傚綋绮剧畝鏂囧瓧 + 缁撴瀯鍖栬〃杈?+ 鍥剧ず鍛堢幇**
> 
> **鐩爣鏄湪涓嶅鍔犻〉闈㈣礋鎷呯殑鍓嶆彁涓嬶紝鑳藉鐪嬪埌鐮旂┒鍐呭鐨勫畬鏁存€э紝骞朵繚鎸佸亸绠€娲佺殑瑙嗚鍋忓ソ**



#### 鏁版嵁鏉ユ簮涓庢牱鏈粨鏋刓n
##### **锛?锛夋牳蹇冧綋鐜板唴瀹逛笌涓讳綋閫昏緫**

- **鏍稿績涓嶆槸鍗曠函灞曠ず鏁版嵁瑙勬ā锛岃€屾槸璇存槑锛?*

> **鏈爺绌剁殑鏁版嵁鑳藉鏀拺鈥滀釜浣撯€斿洟浣撯€旇禌灞€鈥旂珵璧涒€濈殑澶氬眰鍒嗘瀽缁撴瀯锛屽苟涓哄悗缁彉閲忚璁′笌缁忛獙璇嗗埆鎻愪緵鍩虹銆?*

- **涓讳綋閫昏緫鍙鎷负锛?*

**鏁版嵁鏉ユ簮锛?*銆婂彨鎴戜竾宀佺埛銆嬭繍钀ュ悗鍙版暟鎹紝鑱氱劍**璺ㄦ湇鍥綋绔炶禌銆佺兘鐏€愮洘**绛夌湡瀹炰笟鍔″満鏅€俓n
**鏍锋湰缁撴瀯锛?* 閫氳繃鍘嗗彶绔炶禌鏁版嵁锛屽睍绀虹爺绌?*鏍锋湰鐨勮妯′笌绋冲畾鎬?*

**鏁版嵁浠峰€硷細鍏ㄩ摼璺暟鎹彲鑾峰彇**锛?*瑙勫垯妗嗘灦鐩稿绋冲畾**锛?*鍦烘櫙杈圭晫娓呮櫚**

鍥犳锛屾湰椤靛簲鎵挎媴鐨勫姛鑳芥槸锛歕n
> 浠?*鎴戜滑鏈変粈涔堟暟鎹?*杩涗竴姝ヨ鏄庡埌**杩欎簺鏁版嵁涓轰粈涔堣冻浠ユ敮鎾戝悗缁缓妯′笌鏈哄埗璇嗗埆**

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**涓庘€滅爺绌跺満鏅笌瀵硅薄鐣屽畾鈥濅腑宓屽缁撴瀯鐨勫姛鑳藉樊寮?*
**鐮旂┒瀵硅薄鐣屽畾 涓殑** 涓綋 鈭?鍥綋 鈭?璧涘眬 鈭?绔炶禌锛岄噸鐐瑰洖绛旂殑鏄細
> **鐮旂┒涓轰粈涔堜笉鑳藉彧鐪嬩釜浣擄紵涓轰粈涔堣浠庡灞傚祵濂楃粨鏋勭悊瑙ｅ洟浣撹禌瀛ｅ埗绔炶禌锛?*
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> **鏁版嵁鏄惁瑕嗙洊澶氬眰缁撴瀯锛熸槸鍚︽敮鎾戝彉閲忚璁″拰缁忛獙璇嗗埆锛?*
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#### **璋冩暣鍓?涓?璋冩暣鍚?*

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#### **鏍稿績缁撴灉鍙橀噺锛氱患鍚堟姇鍏?*

**锛?锛夋牳蹇冧綋鐜板唴瀹逛笌涓讳綋閫昏緫**

- 鏍稿績涓嶆槸璇︾粏瑙ｉ噴鍙橀噺鏋勯€犵殑鍏ㄩ儴鎶€鏈粏鑺傦紝鑰屾槸璇存槑锛歕n
> **涓嶉噰鐢ㄥ崟涓€浠樿垂鎴栧崟涓€鍦ㄧ嚎鏃堕暱锛岀敤鈥滅患鍚堟姇鍏モ€濈粺涓€鍒荤敾绔炶禌鏈熷唴鐨勬湁鏁堥噾閽辨姇鍏ヤ笌鏈夋晥鏃堕棿鎶曞叆銆?*

- **甯冨眬璁捐閫昏緫**

閲囩敤 **鈥滀富缁撹 + 鍏紡 + 鍙屾爮瀵圭収 + 搴曢儴璇存槑鈥?* 鐨勪笁灞傜粨鏋刓n
**涓荤粨璁猴細**璇存槑缁煎悎鎶曞叆鐢ㄤ簬**缁熶竴鍒荤敾绔炶禌鏈熷唴鐨勯噾閽辨姇鍏?*涓?*鏈夋晥鏃堕棿**鎶曞叆

**鏍稿績鍏紡涓嶬/L瀵圭収锛?*璇存槑涓や釜鏋勬垚缁村害鐨?*缁熻鍙ｅ緞**銆?*鎺掗櫎鑼冨洿**鍜?*澶勭悊鏂瑰紡**

**蹇呰瑙ｉ噴锛?*绠€鐭鏄庡洖搴斾袱涓叧閿棶棰橈紝**涓轰粈涔堜笉鐢ㄥ崟涓€鎸囨爣锛?鏉冮噸濡備綍璁惧畾**锛焅n
#### **璋冩暣鍓?涓?璋冩暣鍚?*

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#### **鏈哄埗鍙橀噺鏋勫缓锛氫粠鐞嗚鏈哄埗鍒板叆妯＄壒寰?*

**锛?锛夋牳蹇冧綋鐜板唴瀹逛笌涓讳綋閫昏緫**

- 鏍稿績鏄ˉ瓒?**鈥滀竷鏈哄埗鐞嗚妗嗘灦鈥濅笌鈥滄満鍣ㄥ涔犵粡楠岃瘑鍒€濅箣闂寸殑涓棿妗ユ**锛屽洖绛旓細

> **鐞嗚鏈哄埗濡備綍杞寲涓烘ā鍨嬪彲浠ヨ瘑鍒殑鍙橀噺锛?*

- **涓讳綋閫昏緫涓猴細鐞嗚鏈哄埗涓嶈兘鐩存帴鍏ユā锛岄渶瑕佸畬鎴愬彉閲忚浆鍖栭摼璺?*
- **閫氳繃浠ヤ笅璺緞瀹屾垚鏈哄埗鍙橀噺鏋勫缓锛?*

> **鐞嗚鏈哄埗 鈫?涓氬姟瑙勫垯 鈫?鍚庡彴瀛楁 鈫?鏈哄埗鍙橀噺 鈫?鍏ユā鐗瑰緛**

- **灞曠ず浠ｈ〃鎬ф槧灏勬牱渚?*

  - **鍏钩鎬?*锛氬叧娉?*璧涘眬鑳藉姏宸紓鏄惁鍙帶**锛屽搴斿疄鍔涘樊寮傘€佸己寮卞樊璺濄€佸尮閰嶅潎琛″害 
  - **浜掕ˉ鎬?*锛氬叧娉?*閲戦挶涓庢椂闂存姇鍏ユ槸鍚﹀崗鍚?*锛屽搴擪-L鍗忓悓鍏崇郴銆佹湁鏁堣涓哄瘑搴︺€佸崗浣滄姇鍏ョ粨鏋?
  - **绉佹湁鎬?*锛氬叧娉?*璐＄尞鍥炴姤鏄惁鏈夋晥缁戝畾**锛屽搴斾釜浜鸿础鐚€笺€佸鍔遍鍙栥€佽础鐚?濂栧姳鍖归厤搴n
#### **鏂板鍐呭椤?*

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#### 缁忛獙璇嗗埆鏂规硶涓庡紓璐ㄦ€у垎鏋怽n
**锛?锛夋牳蹇冧綋鐜板唴瀹逛笌涓讳綋閫昏緫**

- 鏍稿績涓嶆槸浠嬬粛绠楁硶鍘熺悊锛岃€屾槸璇存槑锛?

> 鏈哄埗鍙橀噺杩涘叆妯″瀷鍚庯紝濡備綍璇嗗埆鍏抽敭鏈哄埗銆佽В閲婁綔鐢ㄥ舰鎬侊紝骞惰繘涓€姝ユ瘮杈冧笉鍚岀兢浣撶殑鍝嶅簲宸紓

- **涓讳綋閫昏緫鍙互姒傛嫭涓猴細** 

**鍏ㄦ牱鏈粡楠岃瘑鍒細XGBoost + SHAP**

**鍏堝湪鍏ㄦ牱鏈眰闈㈣瘑鍒叧閿満鍒跺彉閲忓強鍏朵綔鐢ㄥ舰鎬?*

- **XGBoost**锛氬洖绛斺€滃摢浜涙満鍒跺彉閲忔洿鍏抽敭锛熲€? 
 杈撳嚭鍙橀噺閲嶈鎬ф帓搴忥紝鐢ㄤ簬璇嗗埆浼樺厛鍏虫敞鐨勫叧閿満鍒躲€?
- **SHAP**锛氬洖绛?*鍏抽敭鍙橀噺濡備綍褰卞搷缁煎悎鎶曞叆**锛? 
 杈撳嚭褰卞搷鏂瑰悜銆佸叧绯诲舰鎬佸拰鍏抽敭鍖洪棿锛屼緥濡傛鍚戝寮恒€侀€傚害鏈€楂樸€佽竟闄呰秼缂?
- **鍒嗙粍寮傝川鎬у垎鏋愶細鑱氱被 + 鍒嗙粍璇嗗埆**

> **鍦ㄥ叏鏍锋湰璇嗗埆鍩虹涓婏紝杩涗竴姝ラ€氳繃鑱氱被褰㈡垚缇や綋鏍囩锛屽苟鍦ㄤ笉鍚岀兢浣撳唴閲嶅XGBoost + SHAP鍒嗘瀽**

- **涓ら儴鍒嗗唴瀹逛箣闂寸殑琛旀帴**

> **鍏ㄦ牱鏈瘑鍒叧閿満鍒?鈫?瑙ｉ噴鏈哄埗浣滅敤褰㈡€?鈫?鑱氱被褰㈡垚缇や綋鏍囩 鈫?鍒嗙粍姣旇緝鏈哄埗鍝嶅簲宸紓 鈫?鏀拺宸紓鍖栨不鐞?*

#### **鍦ㄥ師鐗堝熀纭€涓婁紭鍖?*

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#### **娌荤悊杈撳嚭璺緞锛氫粠妯″瀷缁撴灉鍒拌鍒欎紭鍖?*

**锛?锛夋牳蹇冧綋鐜板唴瀹逛笌涓讳綋閫昏緫**

-  鏍稿績涓嶆槸缁х画灞曠ず妯″瀷鏂规硶锛岃€屾槸璇存槑锛?

> **妯″瀷缁撴灉濡備綍缁忚繃鏈哄埗璇婃柇涓庤鍒欐槧灏勶紝鏈€缁堣浆鍖栦负鍙墽琛岀殑瑙勫垯浼樺寲鏂瑰悜**

- 閲囩敤 **鈥滃洓姝ヨ浆鍖栭摼璺?+ 绀轰緥 + 娌荤悊鏂瑰悜鈥?* 鐨勭粨鏋刓n
**鍥涙杞寲閾捐矾锛?*

> 妯″瀷缁撴灉 鈫?鏈哄埗璇婃柇 鈫?瑙勫垯鏄犲皠 鈫?娌荤悊寤鸿

杩欐潯閾捐矾璇存槑**妯″瀷缁撴灉涓嶄細鐩存帴绛夊悓浜庣鐞嗗缓璁?*锛岃€屾槸**闇€瑕佺粡杩囦腑闂磋浆鍖?*锛屾墠鑳?*褰㈡垚鍙墽琛岀殑瑙勫垯浼樺寲鏂瑰悜**

**绀轰緥閾捐矾锛?*

> 瀹炲姏绂绘暎搴﹁繃楂?鈫?鍏钩鎬ф満鍒跺け琛?鈫?鍖归厤/琛ュ伩瑙勫垯 鈫?鎺у埗寮哄急宸窛

鐢ㄤ簬璇存槑濡備綍浠庝竴涓?*妯″瀷璇嗗埆缁撴灉**锛岃浆鍖栦负**鏈哄埗璇婃柇鍜岃鍒欎紭鍖?*鏂瑰悜

**娌荤悊鏂瑰悜锛?*

- **缁撴灉绠＄悊 鈫?杩囩▼娌荤悊**锛氱敤杩囩▼鎸囨爣璇嗗埆鎶曞叆琛板噺涓庣珵浜夊け琛?
- **缁熶竴瑙勫垯 鈫?鍒嗗眰娌荤悊**锛氬熀浜庣兢浣撳樊寮傚疄鏂藉樊寮傚寲瑙勫垯閰嶇疆 
- **鐭湡鍒烘縺 鈫?鐢熸€佷紭鍖?*锛氫粠鏈哄埗灞傞潰缁存寔闀挎湡鍙備笌涓庣粍缁囩ǔ瀹?

**璋冩暣鍓?涓?璋冩暣鍚?*

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- **浠婃棩涓昏鍥寸粫寮€棰樺唴瀹逛腑璐熻矗鐨勬ā鍧楄繘琛屽唴瀹逛紭鍖?*
- 鏄庢棩鐨勯噸鐐规槸瀹屾垚璐熻矗妯″潡鍏ㄩ儴鍐呭椤甸潰鐨勬渶缁堜紭鍖栬皟鏁碶n- 鍚屾椂鍚屾鏇存柊**鏍稿績鎽樿鍜岄璁鹃噸鐐归棶棰樺唴瀹?*锛岀‘淇漃PT灞曠ず銆佹眹鎶ラ€昏緫鍜岀瓟杈╁噯澶囦笁鑰呬繚鎸佷竴鑷碶n</callout>
